Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida Atlantic
Conference USA
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#165
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#183
Pace69.0#163
Improvement+0.1#171

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#279
First Shot-4.0#287
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#153
Layup/Dunks-7.2#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#46
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#120
Freethrows-0.9#250
Improvement-3.1#303

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#86
First Shot+1.5#121
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#23
Layups/Dunks+3.3#52
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#278
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#228
Freethrows+0.3#161
Improvement+3.2#45
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1.0 - 0.01.0 - 0.0
Quad 1b0.0 - 0.01.0 - 0.0
Quad 21.0 - 3.02.0 - 3.0
Quad 35.0 - 7.07.0 - 10.0
Quad 47.0 - 5.014.0 - 15.0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 48   @ Central Florida W 80-79 11%     1 - 0 +14.2 +14.1 +0.0
  Nov 16, 2018 111   Georgia Southern L 70-80 32%     1 - 1 -5.8 -7.8 +2.9
  Nov 17, 2018 276   Towson W 85-71 72%     2 - 1 +7.3 +18.3 -9.3
  Nov 18, 2018 344   Incarnate Word W 71-68 91%     3 - 1 -12.1 -5.4 -6.4
  Nov 25, 2018 220   Florida Gulf Coast W 85-68 71%     4 - 1 +10.9 +8.0 +2.6
  Dec 01, 2018 310   @ Bethune-Cookman L 70-72 72%     4 - 2 -8.4 -9.4 +1.1
  Dec 05, 2018 203   Mercer W 68-64 68%     5 - 2 -1.4 -11.6 +10.0
  Dec 14, 2018 248   @ Arkansas St. L 71-75 2OT 58%     5 - 3 -6.6 -14.1 +8.1
  Dec 22, 2018 66   @ Miami (FL) L 55-75 15%     5 - 4 -9.5 -12.9 +3.3
  Dec 29, 2018 75   @ Illinois W 73-71 OT 17%     6 - 4 +11.5 -7.2 +18.4
  Jan 03, 2019 147   @ UAB L 50-67 33%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -12.8 -19.2 +5.4
  Jan 05, 2019 239   @ Middle Tennessee W 63-56 55%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +5.3 -10.7 +15.8
  Jan 10, 2019 122   Old Dominion W 80-73 45%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +7.7 +18.4 -10.0
  Jan 12, 2019 287   Charlotte L 60-65 81%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -14.9 -11.2 -4.1
  Jan 17, 2019 171   @ Marshall L 84-96 40%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -9.9 -3.3 -4.8
  Jan 19, 2019 117   @ Western Kentucky L 66-72 25%     8 - 8 2 - 4 +0.6 +1.6 -1.4
  Jan 23, 2019 210   Florida International L 74-78 68%     8 - 9 2 - 5 -9.5 -3.9 -5.4
  Jan 26, 2019 210   @ Florida International W 89-72 48%     9 - 9 3 - 5 +17.1 +2.3 +12.0
  Jan 31, 2019 144   Louisiana Tech W 69-61 53%     10 - 9 4 - 5 +6.8 -1.4 +8.5
  Feb 02, 2019 109   Southern Miss L 72-74 42%     10 - 10 4 - 6 -0.5 +9.1 -9.8
  Feb 07, 2019 290   @ UTEP W 61-48 65%     11 - 10 5 - 6 +8.4 -5.2 +14.2
  Feb 09, 2019 148   @ Texas San Antonio L 74-86 33%     11 - 11 5 - 7 -8.0 -0.7 -6.8
  Feb 14, 2019 161   North Texas W 57-47 59%     12 - 11 6 - 7 +7.1 -8.3 +16.4
  Feb 16, 2019 251   Rice W 60-41 77%     13 - 11 7 - 7 +10.9 -14.0 +26.2
  Feb 23, 2019 210   Florida International L 76-79 68%     13 - 12 7 - 8 -8.5 -10.7 +2.7
  Feb 28, 2019 161   @ North Texas W 60-54 38%     14 - 12 8 - 8 +8.7 -7.9 +16.6
  Mar 06, 2019 144   Louisiana Tech L 69-72 53%     14 - 13 8 - 9 -4.2 +4.7 -9.3
  Mar 09, 2019 171   @ Marshall L 61-76 40%     14 - 14 8 - 10 -12.9 -16.4 +4.1
  Mar 13, 2019 144   Louisiana Tech L 56-57 42%     14 - 15 +0.6 -5.0 +5.5
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 100.0
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%